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Advanced Methods of Transport Prognoses

Type of study Doctoral
Language of instruction English
Code 342-0960/02
Abbreviation PMDP
Course title Advanced Methods of Transport Prognoses
Credits 10
Coordinating department Institute of Transport
Course coordinator doc. Ing. Michal Dorda, Ph.D.

Subject syllabus

1) Descriptive statistics methods.
2) Statistical theory of point and interval estimates.
3) Statistical hypothesis tests - dependence of variables, tests of good agreement.
4) Regression and correlation analysis methods for traffic forecasting.
5) Analysis and modeling of time series and their use for traffic forecasting.
6) Trip generation methods - Multiple regression, momentum methods, etc.
7) Methods of O / D matrix creation - methods based on growth factors, gravitational models, etc.
8) Choice of mode of transport - methods of utility.
9) Assignment to the transport network.
10) Unconventional approaches to transport prediction - Bayesian networks, hidden Markov models, Kalman filters, etc.
11) Reliability of forecasts.

Literature

ORTÚZAR SALAS, Juan de Dios a G WILLUMSEN, Luis. Modelling transport. 4th ed. Chichester: John Wiley, c2011. ISBN 978-0-470-76039-0 .

Advised literature

HENSHER, David A.; BUTTON, Kenneth J. (ed.). Handbook of transport modelling. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 2007.